Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:38:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5dc…5680
crypto · 658 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$795 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,628 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,628
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses501 / 157
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)658 / 658
History coverage39d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$1,015
14 days−$890
30 days−$1,376
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$23 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$13 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $71 −$43 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $114 −$14 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $149 +$22 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $857 −$857 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 05 $313 −$265 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 05 $435 +$43 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 05 $304 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 05 $354 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $820 +$62 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 05 $905 −$39 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 05 $901 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 05 $901 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 05 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 05 $102 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $125 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 05 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 05 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 05 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 05 $131 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 05 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 05 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 05 $105 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 04 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 04 $101 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 04 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 04 $133 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 04 $7 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 04 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,603
tech 1% +$11
world 1% −$18
sports 0% −$16
other 0% −$2
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $27 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -31.7% -38.2% 41% 24% -70.1%
≤30d 351 -3.5% -12.7% 75% 27% -12.0%
≤90d 658 -0.7% -10.2% 76% 30% -11.9%
all 658 -0.7% -10.2% 76% 30% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 30% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 12% -20.4%
15% -26.6% 5% -28.1%
20% -33.8% 3% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records