Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:49:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5e9…4c3d
crypto · 1770 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$212 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1706 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1845 / 1770
History coverage49d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day36.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1845 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$194
7 days−$194
14 days−$200
30 days−$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$5 -291%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$12
other 5% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 489 -14.8% -22.9% 83% 0% -37.9%
≤30d 1343 -5.6% -14.6% 92% 1% -21.5%
≤90d 1845 -4.9% -14.0% 92% 1% -19.1%
all 1845 -4.9% -14.0% 92% 1% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 1% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 0% -26.9%
15% -29.7% 0% -33.9%
20% -36.6% 0% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.06 · official $2.06 (match) · 3500 history records