trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 50% | 50% | -28.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 50% | 50% | -33.1% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 50% | 50% | -33.1% |
| all | 6 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 50% | 50% | -33.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 50% | -33.1% |
| 10% | -29.8% | 33% | -39.5% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 17% | -45.3% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 17% | -50.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 21¢ | $2,304 | $3,107 | +$804 (+35%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 52¢ | $500 | $858 | +$358 (+72%) |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $300 | $307 | +$7 (+2%) |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $300 | $303 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $517 | −$192 | -37% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $303 | +$58 | +19% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $2,042 | −$957 | -47% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1,016 | +$300 | +30% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $191 | +$96 | +50% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 20 | $492 | −$492 | -100% |