Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5ff…4cef
crypto · 159 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses91 / 68
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)159 / 159
History coverage34d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$12
14 days−$13
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$19
other 9% −$6
politics 3% −$5
sports 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -4.2% -13.3% 54% 20% -12.6%
≤30d 156 -7.0% -15.9% 56% 29% -14.8%
≤90d 159 -6.9% -15.7% 57% 29% -13.8%
all 159 -6.9% -15.7% 57% 29% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 29% -13.8%
10% -23.8% 18% -22.0%
15% -31.2% 11% -29.5%
20% -37.9% 8% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 383 history records