Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf609…ce37
crypto · 1236 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$19 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses763 / 473
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1236 / 1236
History coverage70d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET May 10 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET May 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET May 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 07 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 07 $15 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 07 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 07 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 07 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 07 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 07 $14 +$41 +287%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 07 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 07 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 07 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 07 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 07 $17 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 07 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 07 $8 +$11 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 07 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 07 $7 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 07 $1 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 07 $9 +$16 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 07 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 07 $6 −$2 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -6.2% -15.1% 67% 67% -12.5%
≤30d 21 -6.2% -15.1% 67% 67% -12.5%
≤90d 1236 -4.2% -13.4% 62% 62% -8.9%
all 1236 -4.2% -13.4% 62% 62% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 62% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 59% -17.6%
15% -29.2% 52% -25.6%
20% -36.2% 35% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records