Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf60a…7ef3
other · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$2 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)5 / 15
History coverage43d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 10 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 45¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$1
crypto 22% −$3
sports 16% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 1h
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 26h
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 43¢ $1 26h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 26h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 26h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 26h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 26h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 26h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 43d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 43d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-37.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +29.2% +16.9% 50% 50% +18.0%
≤30d 2 +29.2% +16.9% 50% 50% +18.0%
≤90d 5 -31.0% -37.6% 20% 20% -38.4%
all 5 -31.0% -37.6% 20% 20% -38.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.6% 20% -38.4%
10% -43.6% 20% -44.3%
15% -49.0% 20% -49.6%
20% -54.0% 20% -54.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.64 · official $18.64 (match) · 19 history records