Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:38:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf60b…7d2e
crypto · 65 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$15 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses34 / 30
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$10
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$17
other 4% +$1
weather 2% −$3
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -10.5% -19.0% 51% 47% -4.0%
≤30d 64 -5.4% -14.4% 53% 50% -2.2%
≤90d 64 -5.4% -14.4% 53% 50% -2.2%
all 64 -5.4% -14.4% 53% 50% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 50% -2.2%
10% -22.6% 41% -11.5%
15% -30.1% 36% -20.1%
20% -36.9% 27% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.00 · official $6.00 (match) · 135 history records