Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf60f…f17c
other · 38 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$106 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$138 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$231
Realized+$138
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses12 / 19
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions7
Markets (closed)31 / 38
History coverage160d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 7 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$23
14 days+$23
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $58 $61 +$3 (+6%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 15¢ 19¢ $46 $57 +$11 (+24%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 18¢ $76 $56 −$20 (-27%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $45 $42 −$3 (-7%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $16 $15 −$2 (-12%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $15 +$2 +15%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $13 +$37 +276%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $56 −$54 -98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 +$95 +1900%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $16 +$1 +8%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $31 +$69 +226%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $18 −$12 -65%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $24 +$26 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $56 +$114 +201%
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curlin Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$10 -58%
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Car Mar 29 $11 +$14 +122%
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? Mar 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men' Mar 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling Feb 22 $18 +$2 +11%
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Wom Feb 22 $77 +$77 +100%
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men Feb 22 $20 +$52 +258%
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Wom Feb 20 $3 −$1 -46%
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women' Feb 20 $15 −$5 -33%
Will South Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling Feb 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men Feb 19 $2 $0 +2%
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling Feb 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$20
sports 37% +$121
world 4% −$33
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 30¢ $23 6m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 27¢ $6 8m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 18m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 18m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 18m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 15¢ $46 19m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 39m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 41m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $10 56m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $57 56m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 13¢ $27 58m
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 15¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? SELL Yes 8¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 7¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 12¢ $6 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 25¢ $13 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 36¢ $18 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 26¢ $13 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $23 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $16 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+35.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +75.7% +58.9% 35% 30% -5.2%
≤30d 20 +75.7% +58.9% 35% 30% -5.2%
≤90d 23 +62.4% +46.9% 35% 30% -4.8%
all 31 +49.3% +35.1% 39% 32% +9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +35.1% 32% +9.2%
10% +22.1% 26% -1.3%
15% +10.3% 26% -10.8%
20% -0.5% 26% -19.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $230.65 · official $230.65 (match) · 115 history records