Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf616…298d
crypto · 403 markets active 17h ago
4.0score
+$18 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses331 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)403 / 403
History coverage16d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 403 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$42
14 days−$35
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 +0.0% -9.5% 77% 68% -12.3%
≤30d 403 +4.1% -5.8% 82% 65% -8.9%
≤90d 403 +4.1% -5.8% 82% 65% -8.9%
all 403 +4.1% -5.8% 82% 65% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 65% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 29% -17.6%
15% -23.1% 6% -25.6%
20% -30.6% 2% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 848 history records