Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf61b…5afc crypto 144 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$91 (-11%) realized −$91 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%61W / 83L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day73.3pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$92
other 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -16.0% -24.0% 42% 42% -25.6%
≤30d 144 -16.7% -24.7% 42% 42% -21.2%
≤90d 144 -16.7% -24.7% 42% 42% -21.2%
all 144 -16.7% -24.7% 42% 42% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 42% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 40% -28.7%
15% -38.5% 40% -35.6%
20% -44.5% 38% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$5 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses61 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)144 / 144
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day73.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 144 Trades
no open positions (82 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 225 history records