Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf620…90e5
crypto · 468 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,667 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,651 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$157
Realized−$4,651
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses217 / 606
Open positions4
Markets (closed)823 / 468
Avg bet$58
Trades / day1573.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 823 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,608
7 days−$4,651
14 days−$4,651
30 days−$4,651
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 56¢ 42¢ $109 $83 −$26 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $24 $35 +$10 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 53¢ 50¢ $37 $35 −$2 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $239 −$239 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,859
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $22 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $19 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $24 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $24 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $27 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $29 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-50.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 823 -45.7% -50.9% 26% 24% -21.7%
≤30d 823 -45.7% -50.9% 26% 24% -21.7%
≤90d 823 -45.7% -50.9% 26% 24% -21.7%
all 823 -45.7% -50.9% 26% 24% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1573.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.9% 24% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -55.6% 19% -29.2%
15% -59.9% 16% -36.1%
20% -63.8% 12% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $156.67 · official $156.67 (match) · 3500 history records