Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf629…523f
crypto · 1454 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$677 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$677 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$677
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses227 / 610
Open positions0
Markets (closed)837 / 1454
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day244.1
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 837 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104
7 days+$558
14 days+$677
30 days+$677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,406
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 626 -12.0% -20.3% 19% 9% -15.3%
≤30d 837 -3.1% -12.4% 27% 18% -10.0%
≤90d 837 -3.1% -12.4% 27% 18% -10.0%
all 837 -3.1% -12.4% 27% 18% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 18% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 16% -18.6%
15% -28.4% 15% -26.5%
20% -35.4% 12% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records