Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:14:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf629…38d5
sports · 336 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$460 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$307 · open +$57
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$144
Realized−$307
Unrealized+$57
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses178 / 156
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Est. fees paid−$209
Open positions1
Markets (closed)334 / 336
History coverage161d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$19
14 days−$3
30 days−$5,780
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 48¢ $87 $144 +$57 (+66%)
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grant Varvara Lepchenko 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Otto Virtanen 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $7 −$1 -13%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 $0 -5%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellis Jun 03 $4 +$5 +119%
ITF Sumter: Bella Payne vs Ashton Bowers Jun 03 $4 +$1 +40%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Jun 03 $8 +$12 +165%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $10 +$8 +84%
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) May 27 $0 $0 -100%
Marco Cecchinato vs. Daniel Michalski: Total Sets O/U 2.5 May 27 $0 $0 -100%
Maria Sakkari vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Club ABB (-1.5) May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5) May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Altrincham FC vs. Gateshead FC: O/U 4.5 May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Karlsruher SC vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
AC Monza vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5 May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Ci May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jaqueline Cristian: Total Sets O/U 2.5 May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Red Star FC vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 4.5 May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-08? May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Aleksandar Vukic vs. Patrick Kypson: Total Sets O/U 2.5 May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Giunta vs Alkaya May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
RB Leipzig leading at halftime? May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) May 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Mert Alkaya May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5) May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Blackpool FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: O/U 1.5 May 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5) May 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 May 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) May 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) May 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Stockport County FC vs. Peterborough United FC: O/U 4.5 May 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-2.5) May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Stefanini vs. Korpatsch: Match O/U 21.5 May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FK Zorya Luhansk win on 2026-04-27? May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$1,303
other 27% −$1,553
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 36¢ $2 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 40¢ $3 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 36¢ $4 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 40¢ $4 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 SELL Under 53¢ $6 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 55¢ $6 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 48¢ $5 2h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $5 2h
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) SELL Atlanta Braves 62¢ $7 2h
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 64¢ $7 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 63¢ $6 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 64¢ $6 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 47¢ $2 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 3h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 3h
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 3h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 40¢ $0 2d
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 54¢ $3 3d
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 SELL Under 8¢ $79 3d
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 SELL Under 8¢ $1 3d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Otto Virtanen 56¢ $3 3d
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $385 3d
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Varvara Lepchenko 17¢ $3 10d
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellis BUY Andres Martin 45¢ $4 10d
ITF Sumter: Bella Payne vs Ashton Bowers BUY Bella Payne 71¢ $4 10d
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday BUY Blaise Bicknell 37¢ $8 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic SELL Joao Fonseca 29¢ $18 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Joao Fonseca 14¢ $5 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Joao Fonseca 16¢ $5 15d
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins BUY New York Mets 13¢ $4 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -38.0% -43.9% 0% 0% -42.5%
≤30d 126 -77.9% -80.0% 8% 8% -62.2%
≤90d 312 +24.8% +12.9% 54% 53% -10.9%
all 334 +24.2% +12.4% 53% 51% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.4% 51% -10.9%
10% +1.7% 48% -19.5%
15% -8.2% 43% -27.2%
20% -17.2% 35% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.24 · official $144.24 (match) · 963 history records