Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf62a…ec98
crypto · 1342 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,006 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,006 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,006
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1259 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1342 / 1342
History coverage152d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 1342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$87
14 days−$141
30 days−$478
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$986
other 8% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 5% -14.0%
≤30d 873 -2.7% -12.0% 93% 4% -13.4%
≤90d 873 -2.7% -12.0% 93% 4% -13.4%
all 1342 -1.4% -10.8% 94% 5% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 5% -12.9%
10% -19.4% 1% -21.2%
15% -27.1% 1% -28.8%
20% -34.3% 1% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records