Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf631…6af6
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$53 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses23 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage70d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$18 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 05 $58 −$56 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 05 $1 $0 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $18 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $17 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $14 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 41% -9.9%
≤30d 27 +2.8% -7.0% 81% 41% -9.9%
≤90d 29 +0.8% -8.8% 79% 41% -26.3%
all 29 +0.8% -8.8% 79% 41% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 41% -26.3%
10% -17.6% 24% -33.4%
15% -25.5% 21% -39.8%
20% -32.8% 10% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records