Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:50:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0xf639…1d16

sports · 4 markets active 1h ago

0.0score

−$1 -1%

TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0

avoidriskycopy

~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$61

Realized−$1

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 1

Est. fees paid−$2

Open positions3

Markets (closed)1 / 4

History coverage1d

Avg bet$20

Trades / day6.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Chart Positions 3 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days−$1

7 days−$1

14 days−$1

30 days−$1

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5	Under	53¢	55¢	$20	$21	+$1 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	50¢	50¢	$20	$20	+$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	Under	56¢	56¢	$10	$10	+$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	Over	45¢	44¢	$10	$10	−$0 (-3%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	Jun 14	$20	−$1	-6%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

sports 100% −$1

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	BUY Under	56¢	$10	1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5	BUY Over	45¢	$10	1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	SELL Under	35¢	$19	1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	BUY Germany	50¢	$20	1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5	BUY Under	53¢	$20	6h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	BUY Under	36¢	$20	6h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-15.4%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	1	-6.5%	-15.4%	0%	0%	-15.4%
≤30d	1	-6.5%	-15.4%	0%	0%	-15.4%
≤90d	1	-6.5%	-15.4%	0%	0%	-15.4%
all	1	-6.5%	-15.4%	0%	0%	-15.4%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover6.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-15.4%	0%	-15.4%
10%	-23.5%	0%	-23.5%
15%	-30.9%	0%	-30.9%
20%	-37.7%	0%	-37.7%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.52 · official $60.52 (match) · 6 history records