Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:12:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf641…7b6f
sports · 370 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,457 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,346 · open −$111
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,417
Realized−$14,346
Unrealized−$111
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses295 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1,265
Open positions3
Markets (closed)369 / 370
History coverage30d
Avg bet$600
Trades / day107.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 3 History 369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23,652
7 days−$23,602
14 days−$23,483
30 days−$17,804
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 Over 65¢ 100¢ $2,103 $3,218 +$1,115 (+53%)
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? No 80¢ 100¢ $2,146 $2,666 +$520 (+24%)
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 100¢ $1,666 $2,478 +$811 (+49%)
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $1,814 $2,272 +$458 (+25%)
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Yes 72¢ 100¢ $1,602 $2,224 +$622 (+39%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? No 80¢ 100¢ $1,326 $1,654 +$328 (+25%)
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 79¢ 100¢ $760 $967 +$207 (+27%)
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $745 $784 +$39 (+5%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 80¢ 100¢ $516 $642 +$126 (+24%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? No 97¢ 100¢ $584 $602 +$18 (+3%)
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ 100¢ $448 $590 +$142 (+32%)
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score Yes 86¢ 100¢ $286 $333 +$47 (+16%)
St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $300 $333 +$33 (+11%)
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23? No 94¢ 100¢ $310 $330 +$20 (+6%)
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $273 $304 +$30 (+11%)
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $229 $254 +$25 (+11%)
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 100¢ $90 $183 +$94 (+104%)
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 Over 87¢ 100¢ $113 $129 +$16 (+15%)
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $115 $128 +$13 (+11%)
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $113 $126 +$13 (+11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $87 −$16 -18%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $288 +$45 +16%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2,383 +$1,318 +55%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $300 +$33 +11%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $300 +$33 +11%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $45 +$1 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $50 −$10 -19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $145 +$34 +23%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $84 −$25 -30%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $17 +$1 +5%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $4 −$1 -40%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $38 +$1 +3%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $137 −$4 -3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $38 −$14 -36%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $300 +$33 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,963 +$151 +8%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $134 −$35 -26%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $147 +$22 +15%
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $182 −$16 -9%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $81 +$1 +1%
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $793 +$110 +14%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $98 −$37 -38%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $41 −$11 -26%
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $111 −$27 -24%
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $1,283 −$69 -5%
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $237 −$207 -87%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $335 −$311 -93%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $3,076 −$196 -6%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $461 −$461 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? Jun 12 $697 −$691 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $13 −$10 -74%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 12 $744 −$744 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $909 −$909 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $1,098 −$1,091 -99%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $824 −$824 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $4,584 +$121 +3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2,790 −$1,900 -68%
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $868 −$868 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2,641 −$1,773 -67%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,246 −$2,246 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $5,751 −$5,751 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$13,133
sports 47% −$1,324
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 34¢ $44 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 32¢ $2 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 32¢ $2 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 29¢ $7 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 29¢ $3 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 29¢ $10 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 29¢ $10 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 30¢ $5 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 32¢ $0 10m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 67¢ $3 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 60¢ $3 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $7 23m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $7 23m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 68¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $10 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 70¢ $5 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 64¢ $9 27m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 64¢ $3 27m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 16¢ $4 27m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ $4 46m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 83¢ $5 46m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 84¢ $3 46m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 25¢ $4 52m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 92¢ $20 54m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 70¢ $10 55m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 28¢ $0 55m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 28¢ $4 55m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 27¢ $8 55m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 27¢ $19 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -26.7% -33.7% 34% 20% -57.7%
≤30d 341 +6.8% -3.4% 79% 51% -17.6%
≤90d 369 +6.9% -3.3% 80% 49% -15.5%
all 369 +6.9% -3.3% 80% 49% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 49% -15.5%
10% -12.6% 15% -23.5%
15% ← realistic here -21.0% 8% -30.9%
20% -28.8% 5% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,417.39 · official $22,417.39 (match) · 3500 history records