Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf647…1f45
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$10 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses49 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.7
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$6
other 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +2.9% -6.9% 77% 47% -5.8%
≤30d 64 +2.9% -6.9% 77% 47% -5.8%
≤90d 64 +2.9% -6.9% 77% 47% -5.8%
all 64 +2.9% -6.9% 77% 47% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 47% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 33% -14.8%
15% -24.0% 25% -23.0%
20% -31.4% 11% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 157 history records