Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:12:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf64c…c65c
crypto · 316 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,637 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,360 · open −$151
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$1,360
Unrealized−$151
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses206 / 143
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)349 / 316
History coverage79d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 349 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,126
7 days−$1,345
14 days−$1,345
30 days−$1,345
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $192 $41 −$151 (-79%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? No 65¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+54%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? No 71¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+41%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? No 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 14¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$5 +1745%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$10 -325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +497%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$7 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$9 +1674%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +462%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$12 +7071%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$11 +1390%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$9 +3300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$5 -172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$8 +1272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$7 +3450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$3 -264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$11 +833%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$16 +16560%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +4480%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$18 +7504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$8 +1587%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$7 +3223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$9 +2179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +100%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1,482 −$1,421 -96%
Curaçao leading at halftime? Jun 14 $158 −$4 -2%
Australia to win the second half? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $8 +$2 +32%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$187
crypto 41% −$15
other 15% −$1,415
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 0¢ $0 4m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $0 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 7¢ $115 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $0 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $0 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $2 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $0 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 0¢ $1 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+85.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +189.5% +161.9% 76% 34% -28.6%
≤30d 131 +189.5% +161.9% 76% 34% -28.6%
≤90d 349 +104.9% +85.4% 59% 31% -22.3%
all 349 +104.9% +85.4% 59% 31% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +85.4% 31% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here +67.7% 24% -29.7%
15% +51.5% 19% -36.5%
20% +36.6% 17% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.97 · official $55.97 (match) · 3500 history records