Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:38:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf659…d1fa
crypto · 488 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,050 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,068 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$452
Realized−$1,068
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses285 / 189
Open positions14
Markets (closed)474 / 488
Avg bet$34
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 474 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$153
7 days−$203
14 days−$16
30 days−$658
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 38¢ 94¢ $23 $56 +$33 (+146%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? No 94¢ 98¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+5%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? No 93¢ 99¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+6%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? No 92¢ 94¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $35 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 96¢ 98¢ $34 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? No 96¢ 96¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 92¢ 88¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 91¢ 81¢ $35 $32 −$4 (-10%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? No 89¢ 77¢ $34 $29 −$5 (-13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? No 57¢ 52¢ $23 $21 −$2 (-9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? No 34¢ 27¢ $22 $18 −$5 (-21%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? No 44¢ 25¢ $23 $13 −$10 (-43%)
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? No 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 7? No 39¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 8? Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Down 49¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Down 30¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31? No 33¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? No 10¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$15 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$16 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $35 +$1 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $35 +$2 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $35 +$3 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 11, 4PM ET? Jun 11 $34 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Jun 11 $24 −$15 -61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $37 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $35 +$3 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $35 +$3 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 11 $24 −$14 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $23 −$10 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $17 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$10 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $35 −$10 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $23 −$7 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$17 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $46 −$20 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $16 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$9 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $46 +$46 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Jun 11 $24 −$13 -55%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 10? Jun 11 $35 +$4 +10%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $36 +$3 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 10? Jun 11 $35 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $35 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$12 -34%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 10PM ET? Jun 11 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 10 $23 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $35 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $35 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $60 +$15 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $35 +$4 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$712
world 3% −$343
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $23 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? BUY No 57¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? BUY No 92¢ $34 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $32 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY No 34¢ $24 15h
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 11, 4PM ET? BUY No 98¢ $34 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? SELL No 11¢ $9 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? SELL No 25¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 35¢ $14 18h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 37¢ $11 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $13 18h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 91¢ $35 18h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 55¢ $17 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 185 -8.8% -17.5% 57% 21% -12.7%
≤30d 470 -7.0% -15.8% 61% 23% -13.4%
≤90d 470 -7.0% -15.8% 61% 23% -13.4%
all 474 -7.7% -16.5% 60% 23% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.5% 23% -15.2%
10% -24.5% 15% -23.3%
15% -31.8% 12% -30.7%
20% -38.5% 9% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $451.90 · official $451.64 (match) · 1228 history records