Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T18:45:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf65f…9531 crypto 37 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (177 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$27 (+1%) realized +$27 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate59%22W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$63per market
Trades / day176.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (177 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 19% -9.4%
≤30d 37 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 19% -9.4%
≤90d 37 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 19% -9.4%
all 37 -0.8% -10.3% 59% 19% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover176.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 19% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 8% -18.1%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$9 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses22 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage2d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day176.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 37 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 20 $44 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $62 +$18 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 20 $88 −$14 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $69 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $95 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $139 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $95 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $125 +$36 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 20 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $69 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $47 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $78 −$24 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $78 +$12 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $79 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 19 $88 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $96 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $46 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 19 $83 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $104 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $53 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $59 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $108 −$52 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $54 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $62 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $65 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $64 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 18 $96 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $74 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $13 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $31 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 387 history records