trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +8.8% | -1.6% | 73% | 55% | -5.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 75% | 58% | -4.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 75% | 58% | -4.2% |
| all | 30 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 63% | 50% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.6% | 50% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 40% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 30% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 20% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $7 | +$4 | +65% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $41 | −$19 | -46% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $30 | +$13 | +44% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $93 | +$37 | +40% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $80 | −$45 | -56% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $126 | +$11 | +9% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$12 | -57% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $112 | +$21 | +18% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $99 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? | Feb 24 | $27 | +$8 | +32% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 20 | $22 | +$4 | +20% |
| Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025 | Dec 12 | $389 | −$347 | -89% |
| 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1? | Jul 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | May 29 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Magomedov vs. Page | Feb 02 | $4 | +$7 | +170% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025? | Jan 27 | $30 | −$26 | -86% |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | Jan 20 | $37 | −$6 | -17% |
| Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration? | Jan 16 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense? | Jan 16 | $22 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his | Jan 14 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | Jan 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration? | Jan 11 | $6 | +$4 | +56% |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | Jan 04 | $40 | −$8 | -19% |
| Will Usyk beat Fury? | Dec 22 | $35 | +$21 | +61% |
| Jones vs. Miocic | Dec 22 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Nov 16 | $180 | +$120 | +67% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $289 | +$159 | +55% |