Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:55:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf671…c7d2
other · 46 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$20 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses19 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage446d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $39 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 12 $91 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $61 −$2 -4%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $24 −$2 -6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 10 $39 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27? Jun 27 $2 $0 +16%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 06 $24 $0 +0%
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? Jun 04 $23 $0 -0%
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open? Jun 02 $25 $0 +2%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 02 $1 $0 -6%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Jun 02 $9 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? Jun 01 $7 $0 +4%
Will seven total goals be scored in regulation time? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AppLovin buy TikTok? May 31 $25 $0 -1%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? May 31 $28 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? May 30 $29 $0 +0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? May 27 $26 $0 +0%
Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential elec May 26 $28 +$1 +3%
Will Finland win the 2025 IIHF World Championship? May 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? May 23 $5 $0 -8%
Will Pierre Gasly finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? May 23 $24 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23? May 23 $6 $0 +2%
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the May 22 $22 $0 +0%
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? May 22 $2 $0 +0%
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League? May 22 $32 +$1 +3%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy? May 22 $5 $0 +0%
Will 'The Colors Within' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for May 21 $36 $0 -1%
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? May 20 $1 $0 +0%
Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? May 19 $41 $0 +0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? May 19 $11 +$35 +306%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president Apr 14 $11 $0 +4%
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea? Apr 13 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C Apr 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will the ECB announce no change? Apr 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? Apr 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? Apr 09 $11 $0 +0%
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? Apr 08 $11 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? Apr 07 $12 −$1 -11%
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? Apr 06 $12 $0 -1%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Apr 06 $12 $0 -0%
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Tennessee Titans? Apr 05 $12 $0 -0%
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? Mar 30 $11 $0 +3%
Liverpool wins the Premier League? Mar 25 $1 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25? Mar 24 $12 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 36% −$5
politics 22% +$2
other 20% +$24
crypto 10% −$1
tech 6% $0
sports 4% +$1
weather 1% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 79¢ $1 21m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 79¢ $38 21m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 79¢ $39 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 56¢ $29 5h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 56¢ $13 5h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 57¢ $43 6h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $7 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $21 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 37¢ $30 16h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 6¢ $3 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 6¢ $2 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 6¢ $2 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 6¢ $4 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 23¢ $5 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 23¢ $8 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 24¢ $17 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 76¢ $11 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 76¢ $28 3d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 76¢ $39 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 33¢ $31 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 33¢ $31 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 21¢ $5 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 24¢ $6 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $4 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $40 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $4 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $47 4d
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27? BUY No 86¢ $2 355d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL No 96¢ $11 371d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -1.9% -11.2% 17% 0% -11.2%
≤30d 6 -1.9% -11.2% 17% 0% -11.2%
≤90d 6 -1.9% -11.2% 17% 0% -11.2%
all 46 +2.1% -7.6% 41% 4% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 4% -7.3%
10% -16.4% 2% -16.2%
15% -24.5% 2% -24.3%
20% -31.9% 2% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 140 history records