Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T14:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf674…c9c4 crypto 429 markets active 2d ago coverage 94d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$10 (+1%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate67%284W / 143L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day7.6pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$19
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 76% −$12
sports 22% +$10
other 2% −$1
world 0% −$2
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -9.2% -17.8% 67% 57% -12.5%
≤30d 425 -3.0% -12.2% 67% 54% -8.7%
≤90d 425 -3.0% -12.2% 67% 54% -8.7%
all 427 -3.4% -12.6% 67% 54% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 54% -9.0%
10% -21.0% 33% -17.7%
15% -28.6% 20% -25.6%
20% -35.6% 13% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

94d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses284 / 143
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)427 / 429
History coverage94d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 427 Trades
no open positions (105 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +8%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $2 −$2 -99%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$2 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +20%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 23 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 43h
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $2 43h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 64¢ $5 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 991 history records