Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf677…9730
crypto · 1611 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,518 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,518 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,518
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1395 / 385
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1780 / 1611
History coverage16d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day130.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1780 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,178
7 days−$6,129
14 days−$6,887
30 days−$6,518
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $91 −$91 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$46 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$29 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$429
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $32 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $27 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $13 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $28 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $12 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $14 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $18 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $32 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $34 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 968 -16.6% -24.6% 70% 24% -31.0%
≤30d 1780 -8.7% -17.4% 78% 23% -17.6%
≤90d 1780 -8.7% -17.4% 78% 23% -17.6%
all 1780 -8.7% -17.4% 78% 23% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 23% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 11% -25.5%
15% -32.5% 6% -32.7%
20% -39.2% 4% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records