Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf67d…2de1
sports · 428 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses177 / 246
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions5
Markets (closed)423 / 428
History coverage42d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 5 History 423 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$38
14 days−$27
30 days−$312
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Under 47¢ 86¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+84%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 51¢ 52¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 48¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 56¢ 61¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $7 +$7 +93%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $7 +$9 +129%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 +$10 +69%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 +$28 +278%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn Jun 08 $5 +$4 +77%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $5 +$3 +56%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 07 $5 +$3 +52%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $5 +$6 +114%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $5 +$3 +67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 +$3 +61%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $5 +$5 +102%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $5 +$4 +80%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary elect Jun 03 $10 −$6 -58%
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-30? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $10 +$5 +47%
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m? Jun 01 $10 +$10 +100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $10 +$9 +86%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? Jun 01 $10 +$9 +86%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 +$9 +90%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $10 +$13 +124%
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 +$12 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Straww May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026? May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31? May 29 $10 +$10 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 40% +$84
other 39% −$60
crypto 9% +$2
weather 4% −$12
finance 3% −$19
world 2% −$7
politics 1% −$29
tech 1% +$9
culture 1% −$11
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 94¢ $8 3m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $7 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 47¢ $6 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $7 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 43¢ $7 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 56¢ $5 1h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 48¢ $7 3h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 56¢ $7 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 59¢ $7 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $7 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $1 12h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 51¢ $7 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 33h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $39 3d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 44¢ $5 4d
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn SELL No 99¢ $9 4d
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $3 4d
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $5 4d
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? SELL Yes 88¢ $8 5d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 5d
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 5d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? SELL Yes 89¢ $8 5d
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 5d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $5 7d
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn BUY No 55¢ $5 7d
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? BUY No 56¢ $5 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire BUY Phoenix Mercury 46¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +13.8% +2.9% 58% 58% +19.4%
≤30d 371 -8.9% -17.5% 37% 37% -18.1%
≤90d 423 +3.6% -6.3% 42% 41% -10.8%
all 423 +3.6% -6.3% 42% 41% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 41% -10.8%
10% -15.2% 41% -19.3%
15% -23.4% 41% -27.1%
20% -30.9% 40% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.72 · official $36.72 (match) · 900 history records