trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) | TYLOO | 43¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $12 | −$1 | -8% |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play | Jun 13 | $26 | +$43 | +163% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $15 | +$10 | +64% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 10 | $5 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 29 | $8 | +$12 | +152% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) | Mar 22 | $14 | −$10 | -72% |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21? | Jan 03 | $6 | −$4 | -64% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score | Jan 03 | $1 | +$1 | +104% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30? | Jan 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) | Dec 21 | $2 | +$1 | +63% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 20 | $7 | +$4 | +63% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15? | Dec 16 | $5 | +$1 | +30% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 14 | $3 | +$6 | +211% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3) | Dec 13 | $4 | +$2 | +42% |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | Dec 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10? | Dec 11 | $10 | +$13 | +127% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? | Dec 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Dec 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1) | Dec 04 | $5 | −$3 | -50% |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) | Dec 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +77.8% | +60.8% | 50% | 50% | +89.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 40% | 40% | +71.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 30% | 30% | +24.7% |
| all | 27 | -17.6% | -25.4% | 37% | 37% | +5.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.4% | 37% | +5.8% |
| 10% | -32.6% | 37% | -4.3% |
| 15% | -39.1% | 33% | -13.6% |
| 20% | -45.0% | 30% | -22.0% |