trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $19 | $19 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $5 | $4 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $4 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+16%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Under | 55¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Under | 76¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 59¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $21 | +$8 | +40% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $17 | −$13 | -81% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $9 | +$20 | +240% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $12 | +$13 | +112% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $9 | +$4 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $3 | +$7 | +238% |
| Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $9 | +$23 | +238% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $9 | +$12 | +129% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +35.3% | +22.4% | 54% | 54% | +18.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 57% | 57% | +18.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 57% | 57% | +18.8% |
| all | 14 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 57% | 57% | +18.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.2% | 57% | +18.8% |
| 10% | +10.5% | 57% | +7.4% |
| 15% | -0.2% | 50% | -3.0% |
| 20% | -10.0% | 36% | -12.5% |