Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:23:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf691…ab08 crypto 43 markets active 5d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$50 (+24%) realized +$50 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate56%24W / 19L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day77.3pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$4
other 7% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -4.3% -13.4% 30% 30% +25.7%
≤30d 43 +0.0% -9.5% 56% 53% +5.2%
≤90d 43 +0.0% -9.5% 56% 53% +5.2%
all 43 +0.0% -9.5% 56% 53% +5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 53% +5.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 40% -4.9%
15% -26.1% 30% -14.1%
20% -33.3% 23% -22.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 48% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.43 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.81 per $1 lost it wins $1.81
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses24 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day77.3
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 43 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$25 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$6 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $40 5d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 207 history records