Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf691…9ffb
crypto · 293 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$137 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized+$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses114 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)293 / 293
History coverage4d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day92.0
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$137
14 days+$137
30 days+$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $5 $17 +$12 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+171%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$16 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$26 +485%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$18 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$21 +393%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$22 +420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$143
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 +2.2% -7.5% 39% 38% -3.3%
≤30d 293 +2.2% -7.5% 39% 38% -3.3%
≤90d 293 +2.2% -7.5% 39% 38% -3.3%
all 293 +2.2% -7.5% 39% 38% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 38% -3.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 36% -12.6%
15% -24.5% 35% -21.0%
20% -31.9% 33% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.72 · official $108.72 (match) · 470 history records