trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| all | 13 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.8% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 10% | -33.8% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 15% | -40.2% | 0% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 0% | -39.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | Yes | 30¢ | 20¢ | $11 | $7 | −$3 (-32%) |
| Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | Yes | 40¢ | 3¢ | $20 | $1 | −$19 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Jun 19 | $42 | −$6 | -14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-04 House seat? | Jun 18 | $3 | −$1 | -20% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Jun 18 | $18 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential e | Jun 17 | $24 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat? | Jun 17 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30 | Jun 16 | $4 | −$3 | -64% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18? | Jun 16 | $6 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -60% |
| Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group St | Jun 16 | $32 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$4 | -32% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-30 House seat? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? | Jun 15 | $7 | $0 | -2% |