Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6a0…2212
crypto · 1371 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,289 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,146 · open −$49
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$145
Realized−$2,146
Unrealized−$49
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1004 / 602
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1606 / 1371
History coverage25d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day98.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 1606 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,020
7 days−$2,000
14 days−$2,000
30 days−$2,146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 35¢ 90¢ $18 $47 +$29 (+157%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner illwill 41¢ 40¢ $46 $45 −$1 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 56¢ 90¢ $27 $44 +$17 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 81¢ 94¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 32¢ 0¢ $35 $1 −$34 (-98%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner RED Canids 27¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Ursa 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Aim Possible vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Jun 14 $20 −$19 -95%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: TNC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$8 -161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$90
sports 21% +$63
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 37¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 2m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 41¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 37m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $18 40m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 56¢ $27 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 42m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY Ursa 31¢ $20 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 43m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 42¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 46m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 31¢ $17 47m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $18 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 52m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 15¢ $10 53m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 35¢ $18 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1005 -21.5% -29.0% 56% 55% -36.5%
≤30d 1606 -12.1% -20.5% 63% 60% -25.1%
≤90d 1606 -12.1% -20.5% 63% 60% -25.1%
all 1606 -12.1% -20.5% 63% 60% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 60% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 38% -32.3%
15% -35.1% 12% -38.8%
20% -41.4% 8% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $145.14 · official $139.91 · 3500 history records