Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:54:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6a1…5a4f
sports · 822 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses436 / 382
Est. fees paid−$139
Open positions4
Markets (closed)818 / 822
History coverage57d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day47.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 4 History 818 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$41
14 days+$58
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 44¢ 59¢ $15 $21 +$5 (+35%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-51%)
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? No 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cilic vs. Kouame: Match O/U 36.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien Cristian Garin 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? No 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-17? No 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-05-16? No 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Fluminense FC leading at halftime? No 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? No 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 14 $38 +$8 +22%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 14 $48 −$3 -7%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +100%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? Jun 13 $7 −$4 -58%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $7 +$5 +80%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $12 +$13 +102%
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 13 $17 −$8 -45%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $5 +$6 +118%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 11 $15 +$6 +40%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$3 +31%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $8 −$1 -16%
Will Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +8%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Will Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $8 $0 -2%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $2 $0 -1%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $4 $0 -1%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $2 $0 -2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +57%
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5) Jun 08 $1 $0 +8%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +26%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +23%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +38%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +39%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $7 +$6 +79%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aruba win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 $0 +3%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 +$1 +17%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 $0 +8%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 $0 +12%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $5 $0 +3%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +2%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$35
other 8% −$48
world 2% +$35
politics 0% +$5
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 47¢ $5 5m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 26¢ $0 57m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 26¢ $1 57m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 28¢ $0 57m
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 31¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $4 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 74¢ $17 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $0 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 70¢ $2 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL Yes 70¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 54¢ $9 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY Yes 55¢ $15 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? SELL No 66¢ $13 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? BUY No 62¢ $12 1h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 51¢ $0 2h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 50¢ $0 3h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 41¢ $15 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 27¢ $6 4h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 60¢ $4 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 46¢ $0 10h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 37¢ $9 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +8.2% -2.1% 49% 40% +4.9%
≤30d 377 +3.3% -6.5% 56% 50% -13.5%
≤90d 818 -0.6% -10.1% 53% 48% -9.9%
all 818 -0.6% -10.1% 53% 48% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 48% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 41% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 33% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 26% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.28 · official $46.52 (match) · 3500 history records