Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:05:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf6a5…4540 crypto 1565 markets active 4d ago coverage 152d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 151d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$126 (+2%) realized +$126 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate63%984W / 580L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day13.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$683
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$104
other 3% −$1
sports 0% +$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 937 -24.7% -31.9% 49% 35% -35.2%
≤30d 1502 +0.3% -9.3% 63% 48% -9.9%
≤90d 1512 +0.1% -9.5% 63% 48% -10.7%
all 1564 -0.1% -9.6% 63% 48% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 48% -11.2%
10% -18.3% 43% -19.7%
15% -26.2% 38% -27.5%
20% -33.4% 28% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +18% → late -18% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

152d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses984 / 580
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1564 / 1565
History coverage152d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1564 Trades
no open positions (174 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 3¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records