trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +20.9% | +9.4% | 19% | 19% | +19.4% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 23% | 23% | +43.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 23% | 23% | +43.1% |
| all | 22 | +23.8% | +12.0% | 23% | 23% | +43.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.0% | 23% | +43.1% |
| 10% | +1.3% | 23% | +29.4% |
| 15% | -8.5% | 23% | +16.9% |
| 20% | -17.5% | 23% | +5.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $104 | +$666 | +642% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $103 | +$397 | +384% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $104 | +$896 | +864% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$99 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $101 | −$98 | -97% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $103 | +$257 | +249% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $97 | −$94 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 17 | $47 | −$45 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $96 | −$93 | -97% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $2,005 | +$1,689 | +84% |