Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6d3…78af
crypto · 420 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$306 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$410 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$410
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses198 / 220
Open positions2
Markets (closed)418 / 420
History coverage34d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day53.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 418 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$124
14 days−$170
30 days−$327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 78¢ 76¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$13 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$412
politics 0% +$1
other 0% +$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $10 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $10 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 +11.7% +1.0% 60% 58% -15.8%
≤30d 376 +2.5% -7.3% 49% 44% -19.0%
≤90d 418 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 42% -19.5%
all 418 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 42% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 42% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 36% -27.2%
15% -25.5% 22% -34.2%
20% -32.8% 11% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.55 · official $7.12 · 2100 history records