Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6d9…bfbf
crypto · 638 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses401 / 236
Open positions1
Markets (closed)637 / 638
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day784.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 76¢ 52¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-32%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 637 +7.2% -3.0% 63% 50% -9.9%
≤30d 637 +7.2% -3.0% 63% 50% -9.9%
≤90d 637 +7.2% -3.0% 63% 50% -9.9%
all 637 +7.2% -3.0% 63% 50% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover784.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 50% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 35% -18.5%
15% -20.8% 16% -26.4%
20% -28.6% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.58 · official $2.62 (match) · 3500 history records