trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +54.4% | +39.7% | 100% | 100% | +29.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +24.0% | +12.2% | 75% | 75% | +7.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +13.0% | +2.2% | 36% | 36% | -10.7% |
| all | 11 | +13.0% | +2.2% | 36% | 36% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.2% | 36% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -7.5% | 27% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -16.5% | 18% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -24.7% | 18% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $24 | $16 | −$8 (-35%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $24 | $10 | −$14 (-59%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $30 | +$5 | +16% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $16 | +$15 | +93% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$4 | +27% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 07 | $21 | −$8 | -40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | May 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m? | May 13 | $21 | −$17 | -82% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 13 | $6 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | May 13 | $10 | −$4 | -41% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? | May 13 | $21 | −$6 | -28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $5 | +$21 | +414% |