Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:25:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6e1…2e9a
crypto · 417 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,242 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$374 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$374
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses235 / 182
Open positions0
Markets (closed)417 / 417
History coverage35d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day88.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 08 $14 +$9 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET May 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 16 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 16 $17 +$11 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 16 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 16 $52 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 16 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 16 $67 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 16 $26 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 16 $33 −$20 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 16 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 16 $43 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 16 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 16 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 16 $26 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 16 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 16 $26 +$30 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 16 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 16 $22 −$11 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 16 $38 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET May 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 16 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 16 $19 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 16 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 16 $37 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 16 $29 −$29 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$374
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -13.6% -21.8% 47% 47% -13.1%
≤30d 118 -10.3% -18.8% 53% 37% -11.9%
≤90d 417 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 40% -12.4%
all 417 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 40% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 40% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 24% -20.8%
15% -33.3% 15% -28.5%
20% -39.9% 10% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records