Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T16:31:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F6 0xf6f2…4bc6 crypto 17 markets active 3h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$2 (+1%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate15%2W / 11L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day65.0pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$44now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% $0
tech 6% $0
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -0.1% -9.6% 15% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 13 -0.1% -9.6% 15% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 13 -0.1% -9.6% 15% 0% -9.3%
all 13 -0.1% -9.6% 15% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 68% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×13.1 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.38 per $1 lost it wins $2.38
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$44
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses2 / 11
Open positions4
Markets (closed)13 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 13 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana dip to $60 June 22-28? No 100¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? No 98¢ 94¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Will Solana reach $75 on June 27? No 95¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET Jun 27 $30 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26? Jun 27 $30 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 26? Jun 27 $30 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 26? Jun 27 $30 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? Jun 26 $37 $0 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of t Jun 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of Jun 26 $1 $0 -0%
Will Meta (META) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the Jun 26 $1 $0 -0%
Will Meta (META) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the Jun 26 $1 $0 -0%
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $560? Jun 26 $1 $0 -0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $370? Jun 26 $1 $0 -0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $375? Jun 26 $1 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 26? Jun 26 $30 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $30 4h
Will Solana reach $75 on June 27? BUY No 95¢ $1 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? BUY No 98¢ $9 8h
Will Solana dip to $60 June 22-28? BUY No 100¢ $20 13h
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26? SELL No 100¢ $6 15h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 99¢ $25 16h
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of BUY No 100¢ $1 20h
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $560? BUY No 100¢ $1 20h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of t BUY Yes 100¢ $10 20h
Will Meta (META) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the BUY No 100¢ $1 20h
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $375? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 20h
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $370? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 20h
Will Meta (META) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the BUY No 100¢ $1 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 97¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 97¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? BUY No 98¢ $1 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 97¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? BUY No 98¢ $2 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? BUY No 98¢ $1 20h
Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26? SELL No 96¢ $0 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.92 · official $43.92 (match) · 88 history records