trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -55.1% | -59.4% | 20% | 20% | -38.0% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 31% | 27% | -35.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 31% | 27% | -35.2% |
| all | 26 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 31% | 27% | -35.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.6% | 27% | -35.2% |
| 10% | -49.9% | 27% | -41.4% |
| 15% | -54.7% | 19% | -47.1% |
| 20% | -59.2% | 15% | -52.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | IR Iran | 3¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+43%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $280 | −$120 | -43% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 21 | $58 | −$55 | -95% |
| Spread: Spain (-5.5) | Jun 21 | $208 | −$200 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Jun 21 | $63 | −$24 | -38% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 20 | $58 | −$10 | -16% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao? | Jun 20 | $42 | −$40 | -94% |
| Alexander Isak: 2+ goals | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $208 | +$55 | +26% |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$4 | -17% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $156 | +$99 | +63% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Jun 20 | $16 | −$15 | -92% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Jun 20 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Jun 20 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Jun 20 | $38 | +$13 | +35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Jun 19 | $16 | +$13 | +81% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $27 | −$9 | -34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $33 | +$14 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $6 | +$7 | +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | +$5 | +51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -75% |