Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6fd…76b4
crypto · 275 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$40 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$134 · open −$94
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$134
Unrealized−$94
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses39 / 234
Open positions2
Markets (closed)273 / 275
History coverage3d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day192.5
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 273 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days+$134
14 days+$134
30 days+$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $50 $3 −$47 (-94%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $50 $3 −$47 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$208 +2438%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$134
finance 4% −$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 3¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 2h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 2¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 -4.9% -13.9% 14% 14% -7.5%
≤30d 273 -4.9% -13.9% 14% 14% -7.5%
≤90d 273 -4.9% -13.9% 14% 14% -7.5%
all 273 -4.9% -13.9% 14% 14% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 14% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 14% -16.3%
15% -29.7% 14% -24.4%
20% -36.6% 13% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.14 · official $6.14 (match) · 643 history records