Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F6
0xf6ff…bfb9
crypto · 14 markets active 17h ago
0.0score
−$6 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses10 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -11.3% -19.7% 71% 36% -14.6%
≤30d 14 -11.3% -19.7% 71% 36% -14.6%
≤90d 14 -11.3% -19.7% 71% 36% -14.6%
all 14 -11.3% -19.7% 71% 36% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 36% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 14% -22.8%
15% -34.4% 7% -30.2%
20% -40.8% 0% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records