Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf705…3ca7
crypto · 195 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$517,539 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$529,004 · open −$9,595
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$489,128
Realized+$529,004
Unrealized−$9,595
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses65 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Open positions97
Markets (closed)100 / 195
Avg bet$9,799
Trades / day115.3
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 97 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$107,981
14 days+$407,661
30 days+$529,004
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $59,485 $59,669 +$184 (+0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 62¢ 84¢ $35,443 $47,636 +$12,193 (+34%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $38,882 $39,492 +$610 (+2%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $28,643 $28,716 +$73 (+0%)
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $24,460 $25,217 +$756 (+3%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $23,634 $23,988 +$354 (+1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? No 88¢ 98¢ $19,035 $21,110 +$2,075 (+11%)
Will Solana reach $160 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $18,330 $18,471 +$141 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 71¢ 87¢ $13,548 $16,569 +$3,021 (+22%)
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $15,253 $15,346 +$93 (+1%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? No 33¢ 56¢ $7,083 $12,178 +$5,095 (+72%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 85¢ 95¢ $10,394 $11,607 +$1,212 (+12%)
Will Solana reach $130 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $11,094 $11,152 +$59 (+1%)
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $10,114 $10,154 +$40 (+0%)
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $8,472 $8,596 +$124 (+1%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 93¢ 97¢ $8,210 $8,511 +$301 (+4%)
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $8,159 $8,348 +$189 (+2%)
Will Solana dip to $20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $6,536 $6,582 +$47 (+1%)
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $6,561 $6,578 +$17 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $2.20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $6,545 $6,560 +$15 (+0%)
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $6,361 $6,421 +$59 (+1%)
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? No 97¢ 99¢ $5,930 $6,065 +$135 (+2%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $5,387 $5,532 +$146 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $5,440 $5,506 +$66 (+1%)
Will XRP reach $2.40 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $5,461 $5,490 +$28 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 5? Jun 05 $227 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $5,886 +$81 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? Jun 05 $14,790 +$109 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $835 +$8 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $11,430 +$924 +8%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5? Jun 05 $72,909 −$41,258 -57%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5? Jun 05 $132 +$5 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $4,458 +$172 +4%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 5? Jun 05 $24,665 +$7,247 +29%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $916 −$364 -40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $3,426 +$197 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $33,462 +$250 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? Jun 05 $20,436 +$7,275 +36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $36,523 +$3,897 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $14,352 +$655 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 05 $19,312 +$18,987 +98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $22,135 +$8,402 +38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $31,360 +$48,409 +154%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5? Jun 05 $12,841 −$2,105 -16%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5? Jun 05 $23,262 +$1,903 +8%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 5? Jun 05 $6,337 −$361 -6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? Jun 05 $33,728 +$495 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? Jun 05 $1,676 −$61 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $19,387 +$4,605 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $30,286 +$20,936 +69%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $9,035 +$25,327 +280%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June? Jun 05 $1,032 +$2,243 +217%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June? Jun 05 $7,889 +$3,853 +49%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $15,502 +$8,272 +53%
Will Solana dip to $70 in June? Jun 04 $2,150 −$1,865 -87%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 5? Jun 04 $495 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 03 $2,655 −$2,538 -96%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? Jun 03 $55 −$55 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June? Jun 03 $544 +$90 +16%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? Jun 02 $3,295 +$75 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June? Jun 02 $955 +$44 +5%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May? Jun 01 $2,839 +$9,204 +324%
Will Solana reach $140 in May? Jun 01 $1,890 +$5,999 +317%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 01 $1,090 +$17,918 +1644%
Will Solana reach $110 in May? Jun 01 $1,814 +$17,336 +956%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 01 $15,676 +$595 +4%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May? Jun 01 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 01 $389 +$15,686 +4034%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Jun 01 $19,220 −$12,282 -64%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 01 $6,478 +$182 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? Jun 01 $19,160 +$22 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? Jun 01 $1,337 +$31,663 +2369%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $3,423 −$2,221 -65%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 01 $8,432 +$136 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $40,401 +$10,166 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$518,557
other 1% +$852
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $9 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 8m
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY Yes 12¢ $1,274 52m
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? SELL No 89¢ $570 59m
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? SELL Yes 2¢ $44 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? SELL Yes 2¢ $44 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? SELL No 89¢ $1,007 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $11 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $13 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? SELL No 8¢ $748 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 9¢ $311 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? SELL No 14¢ $41 2h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $23 2h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $50 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? SELL No 14¢ $352 3h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 12¢ $6 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 5¢ $26 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 4¢ $13 4h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 8¢ $5 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $167 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 14¢ $78 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $8 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 3¢ $29 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $42 5h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 10¢ $318 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+84.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +32.4% +19.8% 81% 37% +12.0%
≤30d 100 +103.8% +84.4% 65% 33% +25.9%
≤90d 100 +103.8% +84.4% 65% 33% +25.9%
all 100 +103.8% +84.4% 65% 33% +25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +84.4% 33% +25.9%
10% +66.8% 29% +13.9%
15% ← realistic here +50.7% 24% +2.9%
20% +35.9% 21% -7.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $489,128.24 · official $489,128.25 (match) · 3500 history records