trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -81.9% | -83.6% | 0% | 0% | -76.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -14.7% | -22.8% | 40% | 40% | -32.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -14.7% | -22.8% | 40% | 40% | -32.2% |
| all | 25 | +61.9% | +46.5% | 48% | 48% | -25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +46.5% | 48% | -25.6% |
| 10% | +32.4% | 44% | -32.7% |
| 15% | +19.6% | 36% | -39.2% |
| 20% | +7.9% | 28% | -45.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 38¢ | 8¢ | $11 | $2 | −$9 (-80%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 19 | $155 | −$14 | -9% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $8 | +$12 | +141% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $100 | +$84 | +84% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$96 | +94% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $142 | +$62 | +43% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 4? | Dec 04 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 3? | Dec 03 | $50 | +$18 | +37% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 30? | Nov 30 | $100 | −$40 | -40% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 27? | Nov 27 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 26? | Nov 26 | $50 | +$31 | +63% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 24? | Nov 24 | $50 | +$17 | +34% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 23? | Nov 23 | $50 | +$50 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 10? | Nov 10 | $50 | +$53 | +106% |
| Cardano ETF in 2025? | Nov 09 | $10 | +$9 | +87% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8? | Nov 08 | $199 | +$40 | +20% |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? | Nov 08 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? | Nov 08 | $11 | +$3 | +27% |
| Ethereum all time high by October 31? | Oct 25 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Oct 24 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | Oct 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |