Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:38:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf70c…e3ca
crypto · 1545 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$664 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$664 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$664
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses774 / 771
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1545 / 1545
History coverage53d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$69
14 days+$93
30 days−$1,421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$796
sports 2% +$151
other 0% −$20
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 -23.4% -30.7% 39% 39% -32.9%
≤30d 860 -32.1% -38.6% 45% 36% -61.1%
≤90d 1545 -11.5% -19.9% 50% 44% -15.8%
all 1545 -11.5% -19.9% 50% 44% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 44% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 39% -23.8%
15% -34.6% 35% -31.2%
20% -41.0% 32% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records