Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf72a…db6d
crypto · 1334 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$192 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$196 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$28
Realized−$196
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1004 / 327
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1331 / 1334
History coverage49d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day40.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67
7 days−$67
14 days−$63
30 days−$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 83¢ 88¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $6 $9 +$2 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 86¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 81¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 62¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 94¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 82¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 94¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 81¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 70¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 77¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 63¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 56¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 71¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 67¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 80¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 85¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 76¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 86¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 61¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 85¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$9 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$192
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -7.8% -16.6% 66% 37% -15.9%
≤30d 516 -6.3% -15.2% 67% 39% -14.5%
≤90d 1331 -2.7% -11.9% 75% 43% -11.8%
all 1331 -2.7% -11.9% 75% 43% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 43% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 21% -20.2%
15% -28.1% 8% -27.9%
20% -35.1% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.99 · official $24.01 · 2844 history records