Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf734…6d70
crypto · 1151 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,069 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$606 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$606
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses742 / 408
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1150 / 1151
History coverage25d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day96.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$269
7 days−$145
14 days−$812
30 days−$606
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$44 +831%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$586
other 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $22 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $31 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -3.1% -12.3% 54% 45% -13.2%
≤30d 1150 -2.3% -11.6% 65% 41% -13.2%
≤90d 1150 -2.3% -11.6% 65% 41% -13.2%
all 1150 -2.3% -11.6% 65% 41% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 41% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 29% -21.5%
15% -27.8% 20% -29.1%
20% -34.9% 15% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records