Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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F7 0xf735…ee3a crypto 1821 markets active 1h ago coverage 38d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$811 (-12%) realized −$811 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate82%1681W / 360L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day48.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,243
7 days−$2,239
14 days−$2,240
30 days−$2,280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$105
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -52.0% -56.6% 45% 3% -87.5%
≤30d 1225 -19.1% -26.8% 75% 11% -60.3%
≤90d 2041 -11.9% -20.3% 82% 8% -33.5%
all 2041 -11.9% -20.3% 82% 8% -33.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 8% -33.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 2% -39.8%
15% -34.9% 0% -45.6%
20% -41.2% 0% -51.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$8 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$811
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1681 / 360
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2041 / 1821
History coverage38d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day48.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2041 Trades
no open positions (362 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 43h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 44h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 44h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 44h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 45h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 45h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 46h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.67 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records