Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:09:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf742…e039
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$26,290 +1480%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$210 · open +$26,500
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27,350
Realized−$210
Unrealized+$26,500
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions36
Markets (closed)6 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$444
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 36 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$210
7 days−$210
14 days−$210
30 days−$210
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 17¢ $0 $5,055 +$5,055 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 10¢ $0 $2,895 +$2,895 (+0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 8¢ $0 $2,355 +$2,355 (+0%)
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $2,070 +$2,070 (+0%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 72¢ $0 $1,430 +$1,430 (+0%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 64¢ $0 $952 +$952 (+0%)
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 24¢ $0 $777 +$777 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $732 $738 +$6 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $0 $735 +$735 (+0%)
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 86¢ $0 $688 +$688 (+0%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 66¢ $0 $655 +$655 (+0%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 38¢ $0 $578 +$578 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 56¢ $0 $555 +$555 (+0%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $0 $525 +$525 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 46¢ $0 $511 +$511 (+0%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 50¢ $0 $505 +$505 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 62¢ $0 $500 +$500 (+0%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 0¢ 70¢ $0 $494 +$494 (+0%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? No 0¢ 56¢ $0 $452 +$452 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 0¢ 56¢ $0 $452 +$452 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 0¢ 54¢ $0 $428 +$428 (+0%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 54¢ $0 $428 +$428 (+0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? No 0¢ 50¢ $0 $404 +$404 (+0%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 50¢ $0 $404 +$404 (+0%)
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 0¢ 50¢ $0 $393 +$393 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $416 −$410 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $500 +$200 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$26,698
sports 30% −$408
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $120 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 61¢ $741 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 44¢ $224 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 38¢ $69 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 38¢ $123 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 70¢ $700 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $500 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 54¢ $648 5h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 52¢ $363 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 52¢ $5 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 52¢ $22 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 52¢ $26 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $0 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $129 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $41 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -10.0% -18.6% 17% 17% -30.3%
≤30d 6 -10.0% -18.6% 17% 17% -30.3%
≤90d 6 -10.0% -18.6% 17% 17% -30.3%
all 6 -10.0% -18.6% 17% 17% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 17% -30.3%
10% -26.4% 17% -37.0%
15% -33.5% 17% -43.1%
20% -40.0% 0% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27,349.59 · official $27,349.86 (match) · 17 history records